Democrats favored to win House and Senate in upcoming midterm elections
The short version
- Decision Desk HQ gives Democrats a 78% chance of winning the House and a 56% chance of controlling the Senate.
- Republicans are focusing more on Senate races, where they are outspending Democrats on advertising.
- Democrats need 51 Senate seats for a majority, while Republicans need 50.
- Some outlets claim ranked choice voting in Alaska and Maine could influence Senate outcomes, calling it a left-wing scheme.
What we don’t know yet
- Whether ranked choice voting will significantly affect Senate results in Alaska and Maine.
- How much campaign spending in Kansas and other states will impact final election outcomes.
- The exact impact of shifting Republican funds from Georgia to Kansas on overall Senate prospects.
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Coverage compared
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How coverage grew
First reported by Washington Examiner Farmers draw their pitchforks in Iowa. Whichever side wins could decide control of the Senate
The New York Times That Huge Republican Cash Edge? It’s in Senate Races, Not House Races.
Fox News Senate Republicans might survive the blue thunderstorm. Uh, I think.
NewsNation Republican and Democratic paths to Senate victory
All 8 articles
- NewsNation, centreDemocrats narrowly favored to sweep House and Senate: DDHQ
- Fox News, right-leaningThune makes bold prediction about Republicans’ Senate chances as GOP pulls millions from key races
- Washington Examiner, right-leaningThe socialist-backed scam that could hand Democrats the Senate
- CBS News, left-leaningElection forecaster shares predictions on Senate, House battles
- NewsNation, centreRepublican and Democratic paths to Senate victory
- Fox News, right-leaningSenate Republicans might survive the blue thunderstorm. Uh, I think.
- The New York Times, left-leaningThat Huge Republican Cash Edge? It’s in Senate Races, Not House Races.
- Washington Examiner, right-leaningFarmers draw their pitchforks in Iowa. Whichever side wins could decide control of the Senate